Our Work

Global GDP: we currently project the COVID-19 pandemic will reduce global GDP by 5 percent below a no-virus baseline in 2020 and 2021 Private indebtedness: the impacts on private indebtedness suggest that the subsequent recovery will be slow - while pre-crisis growth rates ar...

Recessions are almost impossible to predict, despite what some economic forecasters might tell you. The current recession has unpredictability in spades – it has come out of a clear blue sky. In January this year, the IMF was confidently predicting that world GDP would increas...

Governments are trying to mitigate the threat posed by the Coronavirus pandemic to economic well-being.  This blog by Richard Lewney sets out the principal channels of impact and the issues that need to be addressed in designing mitigation measures. It follows Coronavirus:...

Not long after the coronavirus COVID-19 grabbed news headlines, requests started coming to Cambridge Econometrics to model the economic impacts – so we quickly began looking into the possibilities.  We subsequently published our initial modelling results. The OECD had pub...