Bespoke Modelling and Analysis

Collaborating with local partners and international organisations, we have, at various times, produced custom energy-environment-economy (E3) models for individual countries. These share a similar framework and principles with our flagship E3ME model.

Benefiting from collaboration, and making use of detailed country-level data, we’ve developed tools including: 

• E3-Brazil, in collaboration with the Brazilian Ministry of Finance 

• E3-India, a state-level model of India and its 28 states and four union territories; as a collaboration with the Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP) and Indian academics 

• E3-Thailand, in partnership with the Thailand Greenhouse Gas Management Organization and the World Bank’s Partnership for Market Readiness.

As E3 models, these are advanced simulation tools to answer a range of policy questions at the intersection of the energy-environment-economy system. 

As a complement to our own work on medium-term skills forecasting, Cedefop required a tool to understand short-term trends in employment demand, up to two years ahead. For this purpose, we delivered a new tool for short-term anticipation of skills trends and VET demand: STAS.

After reviewing the available data and the latest academic thinking on short-term labour forecasting, we designed and then developed the new tool. The STAS generates a suite of forecasts by various time-series econometric methods before combining them into a single composite (average) forecast of occupation-level demand by EU Member State. The tool also includes features to align the forecast with external projections. 

As a tool now held by Cedefop, the STAS incorporates a user-friendly interface for data updates, re-estimation, forecasting and adjustment. The final tool was refined with feedback from Cedefop and handed over, along with a programme of training for staff. 

FRAMES is a flexible modelling tool designed to support policymakers in cases where data may be more limited at country and sector level.

Building on a standard template that shares features of our flagship E3ME model, FRAMES is ideally suited for assessing the macroeconomic impacts of economic, energy and environmental policies at national and sectoral level. 

FRAMES was first developed to align Bangladesh’s tax systems to the Sustainable Development Goals. It’s since been used to support a range of projects including Jordan’s first ever green jobs assessment, and to quantify circular economies in several African countries for the European Commission.