Using global macroeconomic model E3ME and ILO data on employment by occupation, sector and sex, three scenarios were developed to explore the key drivers influencing labour markets, occupational requirements and employment projections:
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Energy Transition: climate neutrality is achieved mostly by 2050, and completely by 2060. Global employment growth would rise by 1% between 2024 and 2030 compared to baseline.
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Near-Universal Broadband Access: access to broadband internet for at least 90% of the world's population will be achieved by 2030, leading to an increase in global employment of approximately 0.7% or 23 million jobs by 2030 compared to baseline.
- Combined Green and Digital Transitions: combined assumptions from the Energy Transition and Universal Broadband Access scenarios are assumed, aiming to capture the synergies and trade-offs happening concurrently. Global employment growth would be 1.6% higher than the baseline in 2030, equivalent to 58 million more jobs.
The outcomes of the scenario analysis helped identify occupational and skills needs and presents a set of recommendations for key stakeholders including policymakers, education and training institutions.
