Modelling circular economy scenarios for Senegal
As part of a larger eight-country analysis initiative exploring the potential of circular economy transitions across Africa, Cambridge Econometrics contributed to the European Commission’s project, Circular Economy in the Africa-EU Cooperation.
This multi-country analysis assessed the forward-looking economic, environmental, and social impacts of transitioning to a circular economy in Africa from a macroeconomic perspective.
The findings from the report ‘Circular Economy in Africa-EU Cooperation: Country Report for Senegal’ contributed to the continental report and helped to identify areas where the EU and Africa can cooperate on policy decisions to advance the circular economy in Senegal.
Approach
Using our in-house macroeconomic model FRAMES, we modelled circular economy scenarios for Senegal, something that has been less commonly explored with macroeconomic models for developing countries.
The modelling looked at the implementation of circular measures including:
- Improved waste collection / recycling rates
- Food waste prevention
- Use of organic fertilisers
- Use of recycled materials for plastic packaging and construction
Results and outcomes
By 2030, compared to a business-as-usual baseline, the implementation of circular economy measures in Senegal could:
- Increase GDP and jobs
- Improve trade balance by reducing imports
- Reduce efficiency losses in the agricultural value chain
- Strengthen economic opportunities for informal waste workers
More about our FRAMES Model:
The process of estimating economic and jobs impacts of circular economy activities in Senegal was carried out using Cambridge Econometrics’ FRAMES model. The direct, indirect, and induced impacts of additional circular economy activities are captured in this modelling framework, to estimate the full impacts of the circular economy transition in Senegal.
FRAMES, the Framework for Modelling Economies and Sustainability, is an advanced input-output tool. It is designed to enable the assessment of socioeconomic and environmental effects of E3 (energy, environment, and economy) policies.
The key features of FRAMES are:
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An economic accounting framework based on the system of national accounts.
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Integrated treatment of the economy, energy, and the environment.
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Detailed sectoral disaggregation, and a national level input-output table, reflecting the specific structure of the economy.
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