About Us > Conferences and seminars > December 2009: The shape of things to come
The Shape of Things to Come
forecasts and scenarios for the global economy
and European city-regions
Wednesday 2 December 2009, Royal Geographical Society, 1 Kensington Gore, London, SW7
It looks like the trough of the global recession has been reached, and activity has stabilised in the leading industrialised countries following extensive government and monetary authority intervention to support spending and the supply of credit. Stock markets have performed well. But it is still far from clear what the shape, sustainability and spatial distribution of the recovery will be. Unemployment is still rising and balance sheets are still being repaired. This half-day conference aimed to develop a better understanding of the drivers and spatial aspects of the global, European and UK recovery paths. We wanted to go beyond a simple presentation of point forecasts and see what could be learned from scenarios carried out with our portfolio of global, European and UK multi-sectoral/regional economic models. The two sessions allowed ample time for questions and discussion.
Conference Programme
| 13:30 | registration and tea/coffee |
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| 14:00 | welcome and introduction | Richard Lewney, Managing Director of Cambridge Econometrics |
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| 14:10 | The Global Economic Outlook |
| | Speakers: | Dr Terry Barker, Chairman of Cambridge Econometrics
Hector Pollitt, Manager of International Modelling at Cambridge Econometrics. - recovery paths across space and time
- sectoral performance, winners and losers
- range of possible outcomes presentation slides (PDF 332kb) |
| | Discussant: | Prof Tony Cockerill, Leverhulme Professorial Fellow, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge |
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| 15:15 | tea/coffee | |
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| 15:45 | Europe and the UK in Focus |
| | Speakers: | Ben Gardiner, Director of Cambridge Econometrics
Richard Lewney, Managing Director of Cambridge Econometrics - Member State and sector performance
- regional and city-regional winners and losers
- the UK perspective presentation slides (PDF 284kb) |
| | Discussant: | Paul Hildreth, Visiting Policy Fellow, Centre for Sustainable Urban and Regional Futures (SURF), University of Salford presentation slides (PDF 193kb) |
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| 17:30 | Summary | Richard Lewney, Managing Director of Cambridge Econometrics |
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| 18.00 | Cocktails and canapes | |
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| 18.30 | Informal talk/presentation | |
David Taylor
Administrative Director
Cambridge Econometrics
Covent Garden
Cambridge CB1 2HT
United Kingdom
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fax (+44) (0)1223 464378